Ukraine has preserved macroeconomic and institutional continuity under war, but its long-run trajectory depends on converting external finance, EU accession, reconstruction and defence innovation into productive capacity while reversing demographic loss.
Ukraine has preserved macroeconomic and institutional continuity under war, but its long-run trajectory depends on converting external finance, EU accession, reconstruction and defence innovation into productive capacity while reversing demographic loss.
Canonical publications where the country is material to the analysis.
A 35-chapter historical, legal and geoeconomic investigation into the contested Polish Constitutional Tribunal suspensions and coup allegations, PiS–Tusk–Nawrocki politics, EU integration, public debt, defence, Russia, Belarus, NATO, Ukraine and external pressure.
Ukraine has preserved macroeconomic and institutional continuity under war, but its long-run trajectory depends on converting external finance, EU accession, reconstruction and defence innovation into productive capacity while reversing demographic loss.
A long-horizon reconstruction of the institutions, identities, threat perceptions, political economies and strategic choices that connect Ukraine, Russia, NATO and Europe—from the cooperative opening of the 1990s to the militarized security order of 2026.